Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AVAX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-09-07 0.000165 0.000183 0.000202 0.000223 0.000248 0.000274 0.000305
2025-09-14 0.000135 0.000161 0.000191 0.000228 0.000274 0.000329 0.000400
2025-09-21 0.000112 0.000141 0.000177 0.000224 0.000286 0.000365 0.000473
2025-09-28 0.000095 0.000125 0.000163 0.000216 0.000289 0.000387 0.000530
2025-10-05 0.000086 0.000117 0.000158 0.000219 0.000306 0.000428 0.000617
2025-10-12 0.000080 0.000112 0.000156 0.000224 0.000326 0.000475 0.000717
2025-10-19 0.000072 0.000104 0.000149 0.000221 0.000332 0.000502 0.000790
2025-10-26 0.000067 0.000099 0.000147 0.000223 0.000347 0.000544 0.000891
2025-11-02 0.000062 0.000093 0.000141 0.000221 0.000354 0.000572 0.000972
2025-11-09 0.000058 0.000089 0.000138 0.000221 0.000363 0.000606 0.001068
2025-11-16 0.000053 0.000084 0.000133 0.000218 0.000369 0.000633 0.001153
2025-11-23 0.000049 0.000078 0.000126 0.000211 0.000366 0.000644 0.001210
2025-11-30 0.000046 0.000075 0.000123 0.000212 0.000377 0.000684 0.001332
2025-12-07 0.000044 0.000073 0.000123 0.000216 0.000395 0.000740 0.001497
2025-12-14 0.000041 0.000069 0.000118 0.000212 0.000398 0.000766 0.001601
2025-12-21 0.000037 0.000064 0.000111 0.000204 0.000391 0.000772 0.001664
2025-12-28 0.000035 0.000062 0.000110 0.000207 0.000407 0.000825 0.001842
2026-01-04 0.000034 0.000061 0.000110 0.000212 0.000427 0.000893 0.002065
2026-01-11 0.000032 0.000058 0.000107 0.000209 0.000430 0.000921 0.002197
2026-01-18 0.000031 0.000057 0.000106 0.000211 0.000446 0.000981 0.002418
2026-01-25 0.000029 0.000054 0.000103 0.000209 0.000450 0.001014 0.002576
2026-02-01 0.000028 0.000053 0.000101 0.000209 0.000459 0.001060 0.002778
2026-02-08 0.000026 0.000050 0.000098 0.000206 0.000463 0.001093 0.002947